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23. December 2024
Russia’s Syria Withdrawal Takes Shape as Satellite Images Reveal Base Demise
A recent surge in satellite images has shed new light on Russia’s military withdrawal from Syria, with evidence suggesting that the country is packing up its equipment at key airbases. The images, obtained by Business Insider, reveal transport aircraft ready to load cargo at the Hmeimim Air Base, as well as a Russian Ka-52 attack helicopter being disassembled and prepared for transport.
The development comes as rebel forces ousted Bashar Assad, Syria’s longtime dictator, and Russia’s military footprint in the country began to unravel. The Assad regime’s collapse has left Moscow struggling to maintain its influence in the region, with analysts speculating that the Kremlin may be attempting to consolidate its assets and secure new partnerships with Syrian opposition groups.
Satellite imagery also reveals elements of an S-400 air-defense unit being prepared for departure from Hmeimim, raising questions about the extent of Russia’s withdrawal from Syria. Meanwhile, Russian warships have been spotted several miles off the coast of Tartus, a port city south of Hmeimim on the Mediterranean Sea.
The US has confirmed that some Russian forces are departing Syria, with Deputy Pentagon spokesperson Sabrina Singh stating that Moscow is consolidating its assets. “What we’re seeing is a consolidation of assets, including some Russian forces leaving Syria,” she said.
Russia’s strategic interests in Syria are significant, relying on its naval base at Tartus to project power across the region and beyond. Losing both Tartus and Hmeimim would be a significant setback for Moscow, which has invested heavily in its military presence in the country.
Analysts have warned that Russia may not be fully withdrawing from Syria, but rather attempting to adapt its strategy to new circumstances. A larger number of Russian transport aircraft can now be seen at Khmeimim, the S-400 battery is packing up for transport, and tactical aviation remains present. However, RF appears to be consolidating at both Khmeimim and Tartus.
As tensions in Syria continue to simmer, it remains to be seen how Moscow will navigate the changing landscape. With its military presence in the country on the decline, Russia will need to adapt quickly to avoid losing its strategic foothold in the region.