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10. October 2025
The Rise of Resource Nationalism: A Global Trend Shaping Economic Development and the Mining Industry
In recent years, a significant shift has taken hold in the mining industry, with countries around the world increasingly asserting control over their natural resources. This phenomenon, known as resource nationalism, is driven by a desire to redefine the relationship between governments and foreign investors in the extractive industries.
The “resource curse” theory suggests that resource-rich, less-developed countries often experience low economic growth due to weak institutions, corruption, and lack of diversification. In response, governments are seeking new ways to harness the benefits of their natural resources while promoting sustainable development. A growing recognition is emerging that traditional methods of extracting resources from developing countries have not been economically transformative.
The surge in demand for critical minerals is a key driver of resource nationalism. Lithium production is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of nearly 14% between 2024 and 2030, driven by the increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and other technologies. However, this growth comes with significant environmental concerns, as unsustainable mining practices can lead to degradation of ecosystems and loss of biodiversity.
Governments are turning to policies that promote local value addition, including measures such as tax hikes, expropriations, and stricter regulations on foreign investment. In Indonesia, for instance, the government has implemented policies aimed at increasing local processing of nickel, a critical mineral used in EVs. These efforts have been met with resistance from European Union (EU) officials, who argue that such policies violate free trade rules.
Power imbalances between developed and developing countries are also fueling the rise of resource nationalism. Historically, the latter have often been subject to exploitation by foreign investors, who extract resources without contributing significantly to local economies. This has led to widespread poverty, corruption, and environmental degradation. In Africa, for example, mining codes are being rewritten to embed sovereignty into long-term contracts.
In Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso, governments have increased the state’s stake in mining projects, including the option to purchase up to 20% of equity and a right to allocate 5% to domestic investors. Similar reforms have taken hold across the continent. While these efforts aim to promote economic development and reduce environmental degradation, they also raise concerns about the stability of foreign investment and the potential for policy overreach.
The shift towards resource nationalism reflects broader changes in the global economic landscape. The logic of free trade and globalization has been eroded by rising protectionism and increasing concerns about environmental sustainability. As governments seek to redefine their relationships with foreign investors, they must balance competing goals – including promoting local value addition, reducing environmental degradation, and ensuring stability in the business environment.
In Rwanda, for instance, the government has implemented a local supplier database to facilitate domestic business participation. Similarly, Chile’s government has halted or reduced several copper mining projects since taking power due to concerns about environmental impact. These efforts demonstrate a growing recognition that sustainability must be balanced with economic development and social justice.
The rise of recycling legislation in Europe also holds significant implications for the market dynamics of critical minerals. The EU’s Critical Raw Materials Act aims to secure the supply chain of critical raw materials by expanding extraction and promoting recycling. This trend may shape future policies, as governments seek to reduce reliance on primary production and promote more sustainable practices.
As resource nationalism continues to evolve, foreign investors must contend with changing regulatory landscapes and shifting priorities among host countries. Investors will need to adapt to these changes, engaging in nuanced negotiations that balance competing goals and interests. The future of resource nationalism depends on its ability to address the complex challenges facing the extractive industries, promoting local value addition, reducing environmental degradation, and ensuring stability in the business environment.
The success of resource nationalism will depend on governments’ ability to implement policies that strike a balance between economic development and social justice, while also addressing the concerns of foreign investors. By doing so, they can harness the benefits of their natural resources and promote sustainable development for generations to come.